tadley

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tadley's Tips

27th February 2026
03:50 Australia W vs India W 2nd ODI

India W

Win Match

50 WIN

This venue gets significantly easier to bat on as the game progresses, so batting second is a big plus. Therefore, with India holding their own in the T20 series, they have a better chance than the odds suggest if batting second.
06:05 Moana Pasifika v Western Force

Over 64.50

Total Points

50 WIN

64.5 looks a high line, but these two could go over it. When the sides met last season the game went over, ending 45-44. In their two games so far Moana Pasifika have won 40-26 and lost 10-52. Western Force have lost both games 32-42 and 24-56.
11:00 Warriors vs Dolphins One Day Match

Warriors

Win Match

50 WIN

Dolphins are the defending champions, but Warriors seem to have their number. When they met last season, Warriors had a rather cosy win and are a strong side on their own wicket. I think this gives them the edge.
13:30 England vs New Zealand World Cup

New Zealand

Win Match

50 WIN

England bat deep, but far too often the top order has collapsed and someone has come along to rescue them. They can't keep getting away with it and may be found out this time. It's a wicket that favours spin, which should tip the balance in the Kiwis' favour. They have a wealth of spin options, whereas England have just Rashid and Jacks.
20:00 Wolverhampton v Aston Villa

Draw

50 WIN

Villa have over-achieved significantly if you look at their expected goals (xG) compared to their actual results and goals. It's been leveling itself out a tad of late, with them winning just one of their last five, including the FA Cup defeat to Newcastle. Wolves are fighting for their survival and, although that's not going to happen, they are at least giving it their all. They went down to Palace last time but won the shots on target 7??"3 and have now drawn four of their last eight, including one with Arsenal.
21:00 Conor Quinn v Jake Dodd

Jake Dodd

Win Fight

50 WIN

Quinn is a strong favourite with a 10-1-1 record, including 6 KOs. However, it's telling that in his toughest match he came up short against Conor Kelsaal. Dodd is probably the toughest fighter he has faced, with a 6-0 record. Admittedly, he hasn't faced anyone with a winning record, but he does look a talented fighter and has the power to stop Quinn.
21:00 Xavier Bocanegra v Malik Lewis

Xavier Bocanegra

Win Fight

50 WIN

Xavier Bocanegra hasn't really faced a tricky opponent yet, but he has done exactly what has been needed of him with 9 wins out of 9. Today's opponent, Malik Lewis, doesn't really look a major step up, so I'm expecting the same outcome.
22:00 Alex Holley v Ignacio Peralta

Alex Holley

Win Fight

50 WIN

Ignacio Peralta is a pretty limited fighter who hasn't stopped anyone, and that looks unlikely against Holley. Holley is the more accomplished fighter and works hard throughout the fight. He may not stop Peralta, but he should do enough to impress the judges.
28th February 2026
12:30 Cambridge Utd v Milton Keynes Dons

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Two of the best sides in the league clash, with 2nd-placed Cambridge playing 3rd-placed MK Dons. MK Dons have scored in every away game but one this season, so look likely to find the net in this one. Cambridge are in fine form and have failed to score in just two home games. I think both teams will score.
12:30 Leicester v Norwich

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Leicester have few problems scoring but find themselves in the relegation zone after conceding 54 times this season. Consequently, they are the best both-to-score side in the league with only seven games not resulting in both sides scoring. Norwich are a good BTTS side on the road with 71% of those games ending with both scoring. Yes, looks the option.
12:30 Leyton Orient v Barnsley

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Two of the best overs sides in the league meet. Leyton have had 20 of their 32 games go over, and Barnsley 21 of their 30. Barnsley in particular have been impressive of late, with their last nine going over, averaging 4 goals per game.

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Barnsley are a strong BTTS side on the road, with 2/3 of their away games ending with both teams scoring. That includes their last 6 and 9 of their last 10. Leyton Orient are a good BTTS side at home, with 11 of 16 ending with both teams scoring, including 8 of their last 9.
15:00 Charlton v Wrexham

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Charlton are struggling a tad this season, but they are usually good for a goal, having failed to score in only two home games. Wrexham are going well and have been a good both-teams-to-score side of late, with 11 of their last 14 matches ending with both sides scoring.
15:00 Colchester v Salford City

Colchester

50 WIN

Salford are a streaky team who often go on winning runs followed by losing runs. They are in the midst of a losing run, having lost their last 4 to teams in 13th, 17th, 19th and bottom-side Newport. Colchester, by contrast, have won 5 of their last 6 at home and look the more likely winners.
15:00 Coventry v Stoke

Coventry

50 WIN

Stoke have lost just one of their last five away games, but the loss was in their last game against a not-very-strong Charlton side. The injuries are starting to bite, with Johansson, Tchamadeu, Baker, Lawal, Boženi?, Gallagher, and Mubama all unlikely to feature for this one. After a wobble, Coventry look back to their best, winning their last three, including wins over Middlesbrough and strong home side Sheffield United.
15:00 Fleetwood Town v Newport County

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

I'm always interested in Fleetwood when they play at home. In particular in the BTTS market, it's impressive that 15 of their 16 games ended with both sides scoring. Admittedly, Newport aren't a strong side and aren't heavy scorers, but they did recently win 3-1 at Salford, so I think they should do enough to grab a goal against Fleetwood, who haven't kept a clean sheet at home all season.
15:00 Lincoln City v Blackpool

Lincoln City

50 WIN

Blackpool have the third-worst away record in the league, so getting something out of a trip to Lincoln looks a tall order. Lincoln are in great form, being unbeaten in 16 and winning 12 of them. They've been banging in the goals and should have too much for poor travellers Blackpool.
15:00 Oxford Utd v West Brom

Draw

50 WIN

Oxford aren't a strong side and don't score many, with just 29 goals from 34 games. However, they have been 0-0 specialists of late, with 4 of their last 9 ending that way. West Brom are having a torrid time with no wins in 10 and have sacked manager Eric Ramsay after just 44 games. They have, however, drawn 4 of their last 6. I like the draw in this relegation battle.
15:00 QPR v Sheff Utd

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

QPR are the best BTTS home side in the league, with 13 of their 16 ending with both sides scoring. They look likely to score, as in only one home game have they failed to score. Sheffield United are a free-scoring side these days, but to be fair they are stronger at home. However, against a QPR side that usually concedes, I see them scoring.
15:00 Rotherham v Plymouth

Plymouth

50 WIN

Plymouth are flying up the league after a resurgence in early December. They have won 9 of their 15 games, culminating in a 5-2 thrashing of leaders Cardiff midweek. Rotherham seemed to have turned a corner when beating Exeter and Northampton, but subsequently lost their next four. In form, Plymouth look worthy favourites.
1st March 2026
13:15 South African Open Championship

Jacob Olesen

Top European

25 EW

Jacob Olesen won The Amateur Championship in 2024 and has now started to shine on the DP Tour. He finished a fine 3rd two tournaments ago at the Qatar Masters and backed that up with a 5th last week at the Kenya Open. He is a birdie machine when he gets going and could thrive on this course.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 South African Open Championship

David Ravetto

25 EW

There's a fair few yards to this course, so being able to hit the ball far is a clear plus. Ravetto has the ability to hit it far, which will help his cause. He has been hampered a tad by indifferent putting this year, but last week at the Kenya Open his putting was better, with him recording 17 birdies and an eagle. He finished 11 under par but was hampered by eight bogeys. It's not the strongest of fields, and if he can minimize the errors he could easily figure this weekend.
1 member found this comment useful

Jayden Schaper

50 WIN

South Africans invariable go well her which maked Schaper of ineterst. He turned professional in 2020 and didnt claim his forst win until December 2025. rematkably he followed it up with a win the next weel at Mauritius Open. Its therfrore hard to argue against him being in the form of his life. He recently finished 4th at the Dubai Desert Classic and 9th last time and looks a serious contender this weekend.
22:45 Cognizant Classic

John Parry

Top GB and Ireland

25 EW

John Parry has been starting tournaments well, but his Sunday form has let him down. A case in point is the recent Sony Open, where he started with a 64 but finished Sunday with a 71. The Sony Open is a good fit for this course, and with this being not a strong GB and Ireland field, he should figure prominently.
2nd March 2026
20:00 Birmingham v Middlesbrough

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Birmingham failed to score last time when drawing 0-0 with West Brom. However, they dominated the game against a defensively minded West Brom side, and that was the first time this season they had failed to score at home. Middlesbrough are a strong side, but they don't keep many clean sheets on the road, with none in their last 11. I think both can score.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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