Kupoa10
6
Estimated Prizes
this month
£30
Estimated Prize money
this month
Kupoa10's Tips History
27 February 2026
01:30 Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Bellucci
Frances Tiafoe
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
I still lean towards Frances Tiafoe, but this is a banana-skin match. Bellucci comes in hot after upsetting Alejandro Davidovich, showing he can hit through good defenders on this Acapulco hard court and control rallies with his forehand when he’s feeling the ball. Tiafoe, however, has more big-match experience at ATP 500 level, a higher ceiling on serve and a lot more variety??"he can mix in net approaches, sliced changes of pace, and angled forehands to disrupt Bellucci’s rhythm. If he avoids lapses of focus and respects the Italian’s form, his superior athleticism and creativity in constructing points should see him into the semis.
00:10 Puerto Rico vs Canada
Canada
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
This one is spicy, but I still lean Canada. Puerto Rico at home are noisy and fearless, and their guards can absolutely catch fire from three. Canada, however, now has enough depth that even a non-full-strength window squad usually features multiple NBA or top EuroLeague players, especially in the backcourt and at the wings. If they handle the atmosphere and avoid foul trouble, their talent and length on defence should carry them.
Subtotal41
26 February 2026
21:00 Mali vs Egypt
Egypt
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.28
Lose
-50
I lean Egypt, though Mali are dangerous. Egypt have had a very solid cycle with good continuity, size in the frontcourt, and enough shooting to keep defenses honest. If Egypt slow the tempo a bit and execute through the game.
20:45 Gian van Veen vs Josh Rock
Josh Rock
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.50
Open
0
I give a very small edge to Josh Rock. Van Veen has been brilliant so far, winning Night 1’s final run and reaching another final in Glasgow, proving he’s absolutely at home on the Premier League stage. Rock, however, will have a massive crowd behind him in Belfast, and his natural scoring game??"fast, heavy 60s and 140s??"tends to rise with that kind of atmosphere. If he can hold his nerve on doubles, the combination of home advantage and similar scoring power to Van Veen makes me shade this to Rock in a tight 6??"4 or 6??"5.
20:15 Michael van Gerwen vs Gerwyn Price
Michael van Gerwen
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.10
Open
0
This is a heavyweight clash, but I slightly prefer Michael van Gerwen. Price comes in off a superb Night 2 win in Antwerp, including beating van Gerwen in the final, and he’s clearly throwing well, particularly on the outer ring. Van Gerwen, though, has already taken Night 1 and is still scoring heavily. Historically he also has a small edge in their rivalry in these Premier League short-format battles. In a match that could easily go 6??"4 or 6??"5 either way, I’ll lean to MVG’s slightly higher aggression and his habit of finding an extra gear in these marquee fixtures.
20:05 CHI White Sox @ LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
19:45 Stephen Bunting vs Luke Humphries
Luke Humphries
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.40
Open
0
I clearly lean toward Luke Humphries. He hasn’t reached a nightly final yet but still has one of the best three-dart averages in the league and is generally playing at a higher, more stable level than his points total suggests. Bunting has struggled in the first three weeks, going out in the quarterfinal every time and publicly admitting his Premier League form has been poor and his confidence a bit dented. Over best-of-11, Humphries’ superior scoring phase and more secure doubles make him the rightful favourite.
19:30 Baskonia vs Valencia
Valencia
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
This is tricky because Baskonia are coming off a huge Copa del Rey title and will be full of confidence, but I slightly prefer Valencia. Over the full EuroLeague season, Valencia are top-four with a strong record, excellent defence, and one of the best point differentials. Baskonia have struggled badly in Europe, sitting near the bottom with a leaky defence. The Cup run shows Baskonia’s ceiling is high in one-off games, yet Valencia’s consistency and more solid half-court defence give them a small edge. If Valencia take care of the ball and limit Baskonia’s transition, they’re more likely to grind out a road win.
19:15 Luke Littler vs Jonny Clayton
Luke Littler
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.29
Open
0
I slightly favour Luke Littler. Clayton is actually top of the table after three nights and just won Glasgow, so he’s in excellent form and very comfortable in this format. But Littler has already shown this season (and at Worlds) that his scoring power and clutch finishing can overwhelm anyone when he finds rhythm. He also gets a small “reset” after his bye in Night 3. In a race to six legs, I think Littler’s higher scoring ceiling and ability to rattle off back-to-back 12??"15 darters give him a narrow edge, even against a red-hot Clayton.
19:05 Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Milano
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
This is a quality matchup, but I lean Hapoel Tel Aviv. They’re slightly higher in the standings with a better point differential and one of the more explosive offenses in the competition, especially at home. Milano has improved and sits around .500, but they’ve been more up-and-down, often relying on grinding, low-scoring games and individual shot-making. In Tel Aviv, if Hapoel push the pace and get their perimeter scorers going, their offensive firepower and crowd energy should tilt it their way.
18:07 MIA Marlins @ TOR Blue Jays
TOR Blue Jays
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.48
Lose
-50
18:05 ATL Braves @ NY Yankees
NY Yankees
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.59
Win
29
18:05 WAS Nationals @ PHI Phillies
PHI Phillies
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
18:00 DR Congo vs Madagascar
DR Congo
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.43
Open
0
DR Congo should be favourites. They tend to field a very physically imposing lineup, with strong forwards and bigs who can dominate the paint at this level. Madagascar generally struggle with size and depth against bigger African nations.
15:09 3:09 Clonmel
Mount Frisco
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
I’m siding with Mount Frisco. He comes here in very good heart after a solid sequence over fences, including a decisive win in a Gowran Park handicap chase on heavy ground, and now switches back to hurdles off what looks a workable mark of 102. The trip and conditions should suit perfectly, and he has enough recent fitness and confidence to cope with the drop back in distance. Main dangers look to be Is Charlie Around, who has been running consistently well in similar 2m handicaps, and Free Flowing, but Mount Frisco’s current form and apparently lenient hurdles rating make him the one to beat.
15:00 Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknech
Andrey Rublev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
I lean clearly towards Rublev. Rinderknech’s big serve and forehand make him dangerous on any quick hard court, and he’s shown that by coming through tight matches here. From the baseline, he is still more streaky and less solid than Rublev. The Russian’s relentless tempo off both wings, especially that heavy cross-court forehand, tends to break down aggressive but slightly less stable opponents over time. Unless Rublev has one of his rare meltdown days, his superior return and rally tolerance should wear Rinderknech down.
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14:34 2:34 Clonmel
Donnrua Dream
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
In this low-grade handicap I lean towards Donnrua Dream. He arrives here after a last-time-out win, so he’s clearly in form, and his profile suggests he handles testing conditions and this sort of trip well for the grade. Even with the higher weight, his recent winning RPR stacks up very favorably against largely out-of-form opposition whose marks reflect more failures than positives. The betting forecast has him right at the top of the market, with the main danger looking to be the progressive King Bob and the potentially well-treated Harty Cup if that one takes a step forward.
12:49 12:49 Clonmel
Arcadian Emperor
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
I’m with Arcadian Emperor. He sets a clear standard on form after a strong second in a Naas maiden hurdle and comes from the Willie Mullins yard with Mark Walsh booked, which is usually a very positive sign in this type of race. On heavy ground, his proven ability to travel and see out a staying trip looks a big asset against rivals who are either less exposed or still searching for a breakthrough. The market and racecard commentary both point to him holding a class edge over this field.
12:00 Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jiri Lehecka
Felix Auger Aliassime
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
This is genuinely tight, but I slightly prefer Auger-Aliassime. Lehecka has been excellent this week, taking out dangerous opposition (including Carreño) with aggressive baseline play and a very solid serve. He’s clearly comfortable in Dubai’s conditions. Felix, though, is the top seed here, and when his serve and forehand are clicking he can dominate service games and control the first strike in rallies better than almost anyone in this draw. If he keeps his double faults under control and holds his nerve in tiebreaks, his first-serve plus forehand combo gives him a narrow edge.
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11:30 Philippines vs New Zealand
New Zealand
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.42
Win
21
This one is one of the trickiest calls, but I slightly favor New Zealand. The Philippines at home are always a problem, with a loud crowd and guards who can get hot quickly from deep. The Tall Blacks, however, usually bring a very physical, well-drilled team that defends hard, crashes the boards, and executes in the half court.
11:00 Chinese Taipei vs Korea
Korea
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
Korea look like the stronger side. Chinese Taipei can be dangerous at home when their shooters get hot, but Korea typically has more depth, better size at the wings, and a very structured half-court offense.
10:00 Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksby
Daniil Medvedev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.25
Win
12
I favour Medvedev here. On this Dubai hard court, his flat hitting, deep return position, and rock-solid backhand are a nightmare for a counter-puncher like Brooksby, who relies on drawing mistakes. Brooksby’s awkward pace changes and court craft can annoy Medvedev for stretches, but over best-of-three the Russian simply brings a much higher and more proven level at ATP 500 and Slam stages. Unless his serve completely deserts him, Medvedev’s consistency and experience in big matches should carry him through.
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03:00 Mattia Bellucci vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.22
Lose
-50
I lean toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Bellucci has been playing well and has the kind of aggressive baseline game that can catch fire on hard courts, but Davidovich is more battle-tested at ATP 500 level and covers the court superbly. The Spaniard’s ability to turn defense into offense and his improved serve make him dangerous in longer exchanges. If he manages his usual streakiness and keeps his unforced errors down, his higher ceiling and experience at this level should be decisive.
01:30 Brandon Nakashima vs Patrick Kypson
Brandon Nakashima
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
I slightly favour Brandon Nakashima in this all-American clash. Kypson has done really well to come through and brings plenty of fighting spirit, but Nakashima’s compact technique, consistent depth, and calm temperament are tailor-made for hard-court pressure situations. Brandon tends to give very little away on serve and is excellent at absorbing pace and redirecting it. Over a full match, his cleaner baseline patterns and stability in tiebreaks should wear Kypson down.
01:30 Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Frances Tiafoe
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
I favour Frances Tiafoe, though it could be entertaining and close. Kovacevic’s flat, early-taking game can really bother opponents, and he’s comfortable changing direction off the backhand. But Tiafoe brings more athleticism and far more creativity in constructing points. Under the lights in Acapulco, Tiafoe usually enjoys the atmosphere and plays his best “showtime” tennis, mixing net approaches, drop shots, and big returns. Provided he stays focused and doesn’t drift mentally, his variety and superior big-match experience should see him through.
00:00 Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Alexander Zverev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.22
Lose
-50
I clearly favour Alexander Zverev. He’s already shown strong form in Acapulco, serving big and keeping his unforced errors low, which is lethal on these night-time hard courts. Kecmanovi? is a classy counter-puncher, but he lacks the outright firepower on serve and return to consistently hurt Zverev when the German is focused. Over the course of a match, Zverev’s superior serve-plus-backhand combination should generate more free points and break chances.
Subtotal126
25 February 2026
23:35 WAS Nationals @ NY Yankees
NY Yankees
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
I clearly favor the Yankees. Their spring lineups are loaded with star power and power bats. Even after the regulars come out, the non-roster invitees and prospects they use tend to have real pop. Washington is still in rebuild mode, so while their young players are interesting, they don’t yet match New York’s depth or pitching quality. In a night game at Steinbrenner Field with a hyped crowd, the Yankees’ offense and bullpen depth should give them the upper hand.
20:10 LA Angels @ SD Padres
SD Padres
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
I favor the Padres. San Diego’s projected lineup still has more overall punch and on-base skill than the Angels’ group, especially once you get past the very top of Anaheim’s order. The Padres also have a more settled pitching plan in camp and a deeper bullpen candidate pool competing for roles, which often keeps runs against relatively low in the middle innings. Unless the Angels’ stars do heavy early damage, I expect San Diego to take over as the game goes on.
20:10 LA Dodgers @ ARI Diamondbacks
LA Dodgers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Even with heavy rotation, I strongly lean Dodgers. Their spring roster is stacked with legitimate MLB starters and near-ready prospects, and they’re sending out high-end pitching like R?ki Sasaki in these early games, which raises the baseline on run prevention. Arizona are a good young team and know Salt River Fields well, but their camp isn’t as deep 1??"40 as L.A.’s. With superior depth on both the mound and in the batter’s box, the Dodgers are the logical pick.
20:10 SF Giants @ MIL Brewers
MIL Brewers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
This one is fairly close, but I’ll lean Milwaukee at their park. The Brewers are coming off a very strong spring game and have a good balance of patient hitters and power bats competing for roster spots, which usually means plenty of focused at-bats even late. San Francisco is still integrating a lot of new pieces and sorting out roles, so their lineups can feel more experimental. Over nine innings, I slightly trust the Brewers’ run scoring and late-inning pitching options more.
20:05 CIN Reds @ CHI White Sox
CIN Reds
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
I like the Reds here. Cincinnati’s young core (De La Cruz, McLain, Encarnacion-Strand, etc.) brings a ton of athleticism and power/speed combinations that put pressure on defenses even in glorified practice games. The White Sox are in more of a retooling phase, and their depth beyond the top few players is questionable, which matters a lot in spring when many innings go to non-regulars. Over time, the Reds’ energy and upside should translate into more scoring chances.
20:05 COL Rockies @ CHI Cubs
CHI Cubs
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
I’ll go with the Cubs at Sloan Park. Chicago has been trending up and is using these games to sort a pretty competitive position-player group, so the early lineups tend to be strong and fairly close to Opening Day caliber. Colorado’s roster is thinner, and away from Coors their offense often looks less imposing, especially once they turn to younger bats. With home-field comfort and more competition for spots, I expect the Cubs to carry the run of play.
20:05 SEA Mariners @ KC Royals
SEA Mariners
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.00
Push
0
I lean Seattle in this one. The Mariners’ pitching depth is one of their biggest strengths, and spring games are exactly where you feel that ??" they can roll out arm after arm who sit mid-90s with real stuff. Kansas City’s young lineup is improving and can certainly do damage, but their pitching depth behind the front guys is still a work in progress. In a game likely decided by mid-inning relievers, the Mariners’ arms give them a small but real edge.
20:05 TEX Rangers @ CLE Guardians
TEX Rangers
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
I favor the Rangers. Their lineup doesn’t really have a weak spot when most regulars are in, and they’ve been aggressive about letting top prospects get run as well, which keeps the offense dangerous deep into the game. Cleveland’s strength is more in pitching and contact hitting, but that profile can sometimes struggle to keep up on the scoreboard in a spring environment where everyone is cycling through arms. If Texas gets anything close to league-average pitching today, their bats should be enough.
18:10 HOU Astros @ MIA Marlins
HOU Astros
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
I like Houston here. The Astros have a very stable offensive core and usually treat early spring as a chance to let their regulars get timing back against live pitching, which often leads to a couple of early crooked numbers. Miami’s pitching development is strong, but their lineups without all the regulars lack punch compared with Houston’s. Over nine innings, the Astros’ combination of contact, power, and depth gives them the advantage.
18:10 STL Cardinals @ NY Mets
NY Mets
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.61
Lose
-50
I slightly favor the Mets. Both teams are trying to bounce back from disappointing seasons, but New York’s spring lineups tend to be top-heavy with star quality and OBP at the top (Lindor, Alonso, McNeil, etc.), which plays well in short bursts. St. Louis will be rotating a lot of pieces as they sort out their outfield and pitching roles, and their run prevention has been shaky the last couple of years. In a game that could see a lot of bullpen arms, I trust the Mets’ overall talent edge.
18:05 BOS Red Sox @ MIN Twins
MIN Twins
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-50
I like the Twins, especially at their complex. Minnesota generally fields a solid mix of starters and near-MLB depth and has enough power throughout the lineup to punish any early-spring command issues from Boston pitchers. The Red Sox have interesting young bats, but their spring pitching depth is less trustworthy, and games can get messy once they dig into the lower minors. Over the middle innings, I trust the Twins’ run prevention and situational hitting a bit more.
18:05 PIT Pirates @ ATL Braves
ATL Braves
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Even in spring, Atlanta is hard to go against. Their projected regular lineup is one of the most dangerous in baseball. In camp they often give the everyday guys 2??"3 trips through the order early on, which can put immediate pressure on opposing starters. Pittsburgh’s farm system is exciting, and they’ll get big prospect looks, but that also means more inexperience on the mound and in late-game situations. With a deeper roster of established hitters, the Braves are the likelier winners.
18:05 TB Rays @ BAL Orioles
BAL Orioles
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
I slightly prefer Baltimore at home. Early in spring, the Orioles tend to run a lot of their young core (Henderson, Rutschman, Cowser, etc.) through the lineup for 2??"3 plate appearances, which usually gives them a strong first half of the game. Tampa Bay will mix regulars and depth pieces as usual, but their offense can be more patchy when the bench guys come in. With home comfort and a very live, young lineup, I lean O’s in a close one.
18:00 Zalgiris vs Olympiacos
Olympiacos
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
This is one of the tight ones, but I slightly lean Olympiacos. Zalgiris are strong at home and sit in the playoff zone, but Olympiacos are higher in the table, have a much better scoring margin, and generally show a higher two-way level over 40 minutes. Olympiacos also have a dominant recent head-to-head record against Zalgiris, which matters in terms of matchup confidence. If they control defensive rebounds and avoid foul trouble inside, their deeper roster and more efficient attack should edge a close game in Kaunas.
16:30 Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draper
Jack Draper
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.33
Lose
-50
I like Jack Draper here. Rinderknech has a strong serve and likes quick courts, but Draper combines similar serving power with better movement and more natural shot-making off both wings. After his successful return from injury, he’ll be motivated to build momentum and has already shown he can handle pressure moments well. If he stays healthy through the match, Draper’s athleticism and baseline quality should allow him to outplay Rinderknech in the rallies.
15:00 Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbert
Andrey Rublev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
I lean towards Andrey Rublev in a high-quality baseline battle. Humbert’s lefty serve and flat backhand can hurt Rublev, especially into the Russian’s forehand on big points, but Rublev’s relentless ball-striking usually wins out over time. In Dubai’s conditions, his heavy cross-court forehand tends to open the court and push opponents deep behind the baseline. Unless Humbert serves an exceptional match, Rublev’s intensity and weight of shot give him the edge.
12:00 Felix Auger Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Felix Auger Aliassime
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
I favor Félix Auger-Aliassime, but it could be closer than rankings suggest. Mpetshi Perricard brings a massive serve and an aggressive game that can make him dangerous on any quick hard court, especially in a best-of-three format. However, Félix is more complete from the baseline and has a higher level in longer rallies, plus enough returning ability to eventually get looks on the Frenchman’s second serve. If he manages his nerves and stays disciplined on return, his overall experience at this level should carry him.
11:00 Softbank Hawks @ CITIC Brothers
Softbank Hawks
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
I lean toward the SoftBank Hawks to win. As an NPB powerhouse, they generally have deeper pitching and a stronger overall roster than the CPBL champion CTBC Brothers, especially once they start cycling in quality arms from the bullpen. Even in exhibitions, Hawks hitters tend to control the strike zone better and put more pressure on opposing pitchers through walks and long at-bats. Unless they heavily rotate prospects or treat it like a pure tune-up, their depth and pitching edge make them the more likely winner.
Softbank Hawks -1.50
Run Line
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
If I’m siding with the Hawks, I also prefer Hawks -1.5 over Brothers +1.5. When NPB teams win these interleague/exhibition games, it’s often by multiple runs because their pitching staff can keep scoring down for the opponent while their lineup usually finds a big inning somewhere. The risk, of course, is a lower-scoring, pitcher-dominated game that finishes 3??"2 or 4??"3, but SoftBank’s offensive depth gives them real “blowout” potential compared with the Brothers. Given the quality gap and typical run differentials when top NPB clubs face CPBL opposition, I’d take the minus run line rather than trusting the underdog to keep it within one.
Under 7.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
I’m siding with the Hawks. I also prefer Hawks -1.5 over Brothers +1.5. When NPB teams win these interleague/exhibition games, it’s often by multiple runs because their pitching staff can keep scoring down for the opponent while their lineup usually finds a big inning somewhere. The risk, of course, is a lower-scoring, pitcher-dominated game that finishes 3??"2 or 4??"3, but SoftBank’s offensive depth gives them real “blowout” potential compared with the Brothers. Given the quality gap and typical run differentials when top NPB clubs face CPBL opposition, I’d take the minus run line rather than trusting the underdog to keep it within one.
Subtotal189
24 February 2026
22:00 New York v The Bay
New York
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
I’ll go with New York Golf Club in what could be the most entertaining match of the set. New York has already proven they’re built for TGL drama, pushing Atlanta to the wire in last year’s finals and again in this season’s opener, with Schauffele, Fitzpatrick, Fowler, and Young all comfortable in both alternate-shot and singles pressure. The Bay might have the highest “highlight” potential in the league thanks to Åberg, Wyndham Clark, Min Woo Lee, and Lowry, and Clark just set a TGL record with a 372-yard drive, underlining how explosive they can be. Over 15 holes, though, New York’s combination of strong driving, efficient putting, and deeper experience in tight TGL finishes gives them a small but real edge against The Bay’s higher-variance style.
16:30 Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royer
Andrey Rublev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.22
Win
11
I strongly favour Rublev. He’s a former Dubai champion, with a massive forehand and very heavy, flat ball that jumps through the court in these conditions, and he has a lot of experience handling early-round matches as a top seed. Royer is a promising player but still inexperienced at this level and will likely find it hard to withstand Rublev’s sustained pace in back-to-back rallies. Unless Rublev’s forehand misfires badly, this should be relatively straightforward.
15:00 Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkacz
Hubert Hurkacz
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Despite the seeding, I slightly favour Hubert Hurkacz. Menšík has surged up the rankings and fully deserves a seed here thanks to his big serve and fearless ball-striking, but Hurkacz is one of the best servers on tour and extremely comfortable in fast conditions like Dubai. The match likely comes down to a few tiebreaks; in those moments Hurkacz’s experience and calm under pressure are valuable. If he keeps his backhand return sharp and gets enough balls back into play, he narrowly edges it.
15:00 Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.08
Lose
-50
This is one of the matches of the day, and I just shade it to Stefanos Tsitsipas. Humbert’s flat lefty serve and backhand down the line can really bother Stefanos, and he’s beaten big names on fast courts before, so an upset is absolutely live. But Tsitsipas is the defending champion in Dubai, very comfortable with the conditions, and his serve-plus-forehand combination still wins him a lot of free points here. If he keeps the backhand steady and looks to attack with his forehand early in rallies, his greater big-match experience in this stadium should give him a slight edge.
14:30 Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzak
Alexei Popyrin
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
I favour Alexei Popyrin. He has a big first serve, heavy forehand and is generally more used to the pace and pressure of ATP-level hard-court events than Majchrzak after the Pole’s time away from the main tour. On a court that rewards first-strike tennis, Popyrin should rack up more cheap points on serve and dictate a lot of rallies with his forehand. As long as he avoids long lapses of errors, his firepower should be enough.
13:00 Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoor
Tallon Griekspoor
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Here I lean clearly to Tallon Griekspoor. Virtanen is dangerous with his serve and forehand and has already shown he can beat good players in quick conditions, but Griekspoor has converted his own big serve and aggressive baseline game into multiple ATP titles on hard courts. He’s also become more reliable mentally in tight sets and tiebreaks. Over best-of-three, his slightly higher level on both serve and return should carry him.
11:30 Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.25
Win
12
Here I favour Karen Khachanov. He’s more established in the top tier, with a big serve and heavy forehand that work very well on Dubai’s hard courts, and he usually handles early-round pressure pretty calmly. Shevchenko has an aggressive game and can definitely take a set if Khachanov starts slowly, but he tends to leak more unforced errors under sustained pressure. Over time, Khachanov’s experience, serve and stability from the back should tell.
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10:00 Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shang
Daniil Medvedev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
I clearly favour Medvedev. Dubai’s conditions suit his flat, penetrating groundstrokes and deep return position, and he’s a former champion here with a proven record at this tournament. Shang is a talented lefty with good court coverage and counter-punching, but over three sets he shouldn’t yet be able to match Medvedev’s consistency and tactical discipline. Unless Medvedev has one of his rare off-days on serve, this should be fairly straightforward.
10:00 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.44
Lose
-50
I lean towards Denis Shapovalov. Carreño is still rebuilding after long injury issues and tends to need a lot of rhythm and long rallies, which is harder to impose on a quick Dubai hard court. Shapovalov is volatile but has the bigger serve and first-strike forehand, so if he keeps the double faults under control he can take the initiative in most points. In this format I trust his weapons a bit more, even if a dip in focus could always drag it into three sets.
10:00 Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksby
Jenson Brooksby
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I lean Jenson Brooksby, but it’s one of the trickier calls. Bergs has been playing a lot of matches and brings very solid hard-court form plus decent pop on serve and forehand. Brooksby, however, is an awkward opponent: he takes the ball early, redirects pace well and forces opponents to hit uncomfortable extra shots, which can really pay off in best-of-three. If his fitness holds and he’s close to his pre-layoff level, his awkward, chess-like style should just edge a tight match.
02:00 Los Angeles v Atlanta Drive
Los Angeles
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
In the second half of Atlanta’s doubleheader, I slightly prefer Los Angeles Golf Club. Atlanta’s depth is real, but playing twice in one night increases the chance of a small drop in focus or execution, especially on the short-game complex where tiny errors swing holes. LA’s roster of Morikawa, Theegala, Rose, and Fleetwood gives them a very balanced mix of elite iron play and clutch putting. They’ve already pushed top teams in past TGL clashes, including a previous overtime thriller against Atlanta. With fresher legs, a sky-high ball-striking ceiling, and the ability to throw different looks in singles, this feels like the spot where LA can edge a narrow win over the champs.
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